U.S. Home Price Average Could Reach $1 Million by 2050

By the time millennials hit retirement age, the median home price in the U.S. will conservatively hit 1 million dollars. Your two-year-old that will be looking at their first home in 25 years will be shopping for 1-million-dollar homes. $200,000 will be needed for a downpayment and $5,700/month on a 20-year mortgage payment. (not including taxes, insurance or utilities). As most parents have realized, 25 years go by in a blink of an eye. This projection was made by the National Association of realtors, not your 58-year-old uncle still living with his mom.

In 1990 the median home price was $90,000. As of this writing (June 2026) the median home price is $434,000. This is where things get interesting. While normal inflation and appreciation contribute to the 1-million-dollar price tag, what is not talked about, is the "affordability squeeze".
Home prices have grown 5x since 1990. Incomes have roughly increased…



